People who know the most often sound the least certain

Experts with deep knowledge of AI often qualify their claims and use hedging language while discussing genuinely difficult questions, which can make them sound less certain than they actually are. Meanwhile, politicians and commentators with minimal technical understanding deliver oversimplified, confident statements that spread more easily and shape public discourse, creating a dangerous gap between what AI can actually do and what institutions claim it can do. This dynamic is particularly problematic because important decisions about jobs, regulation, and national security are being made based on false certainty rather than honest complexity.